The Lipset Thesis

The Lipset Thesis-81
In a paper published this year the historian Timothy Minchin argues that backing from the A.

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In a 1959 paper, he demonstrated that while the working class in most countries favors economic liberalism, it also displays an authoritarian streak. Lipset found blue-collar workers to be less committed to democratic norms like tolerance for political opponents, preference for rational argumentation over charismatic appeals and support for the rights of ethnic and racial minorities. In terms of representing the traditional working class, the number is even smaller, since a large and growing share of union members consists of public sector employees with college degrees (like teachers). when he spoke in favor of Barack Obama’s candidacy for president.

These tendencies, he claimed, were a function of lower levels of education and the isolation of many workers (for example, coal miners) from people who were different from them. Exit polls showed that white men who didn’t belong to unions voted overwhelmingly for John Mc Cain, but unionized white men ended up supporting Mr. In Europe, as in the United States, working-class men are a key constituency for the far-right political parties that are now ascendant. Union decline has left the working class politically and economically vulnerable, and it’s this vulnerability Mr. (For obvious reasons, working-class African-Americans and Latinos are antipathetic.) If unions had anything like their former influence, how many workers would buy the empty economic promises Mr. He was the union’s secretary-treasurer; he was not yet the president.

The Electoral Integrity Project (EIP), which I direct, was founded four years ago to provide an independent evaluation of the quality of elections worldwide. Contests in Nigeria last year also provide hope for progress. One of the most influential arguments about wealth and democracy was advanced by political scientists Adam Przeworski and Fernando Limongi in their influential 1997 article “Modernization: Theories and Facts.” This study compared 135 autocratic and democratic regime states from 1950-1990.

The EIP’s results have been published in several books, including my own, . The authors argued that dictatorships collapsed for all sorts of reasons.

If development is the root cause of the problem, then electoral malpractices such as coercion, vote-buying and fraud can be expected to be particularly severe in the poorest societies in Africa. It gathers assessments from over 2,000 experts to evaluate the integrity of all 180 national parliamentary and presidential contests held between July 1, 2012 and December 31, 2015 in 139 countries worldwide, and it generates an overall 100-point Perceptions of Electoral Integrity (PEI) index.

Contests are further classified into flawed contests (those scoring 40-49 on the 100-point scale) and failed elections (those scoring less than 40). In Burundi, for example, President Pierre Nkurunziza’s decision to run for a third term sparked civil unrest, a failed coup and conflict that threatened to ignite civil war. Even more deeply flawed elections have been recently held in Ethiopia, Mozambique and Burundi. These include a history of war and violence, the curse of having natural resources, constitutional designs, ethnic divisions and regional neighbors. Ever since sociologist Seymour Martin Lipset’s classic 1959 article titled “Some Social Requisites of Democracy: Economic Development and Political Legitimacy,” scholars have puzzled over the links between democracy and development. Many factors contribute to these contrasts among African elections.Scholars, however, have shown what everyone in politics knows instinctively: Unions are also political organizations that, under the right circumstances, can powerfully channel the working-class vote. And unions have been profoundly weakened by changes in the American economic structure, and by decades of assaults against them by the Republican Party.A classic study on this subject was done by the sociologist Seymour Martin Lipset. In the post-World War II era, one in three American workers belonged to a union; now it’s down to one in 10.But even if those descriptions are true, it doesn’t mean these men were fated to be Trump supporters.Recent research in social science and history suggests that they might have been out front in the fight against Mr. March’s elections were not the worst recent ones on the African continent, by any means. Rigged elections are important because they can reinforce the legitimacy of corrupt and repressive leaders and solidify their hold on power.


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